Felix Elsner

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PGM data · Ukraine War

Note: Sources for data of respective presented at the end of this chapter.

Table 1: Russian stockpiles of guided munitions

Type

Stockpile date

Amount

As claimed by

Comment

9M723 “ Iskandr”

02/24/2022

900

Defense Express

05/06/2022

200

9M723 “ Iskandr” (ballistic)

02/23/2022

800

Ukrainian MoD

As claimed on 06.01.23. First time that the MoD diffentiates between Iskandr ballistic and cruise missile variant counts.

9M723 “ Iskandr” (ballistic)

01/03/2023

92

Ukrainian MoD

9M278/9M729Iskandr” (cruise)

02/23/2022

100

Ukrainian MoD

As claimed on 06.01.23. First time that the MoD diffentiates between Iskandr ballistic and cruise missile variant counts.

9M278/9M729Iskandr” (cruise)

01/03/2023

52

Ukrainian MoD

“Iskandr” [any]

02/24/2022

900

Ukrainian MoD

10/14/2022

124

11/18/2022

119

Ukrainian MoD

9M723 “Iskand r-M”

02/24/2022

608

Mankov

Extrapolated on claim of 152 available launchers, assuming a minimum of 2 salvos of 2 missiles per launcher.

3M-54 “ Kalibr”

02/24/2022

500

D efense Express

05/06/2022

350

“Kalibr” [any]

02/24/2022

500

Ukrainian MoD

(12.10.22: Reznikov’s i nfographic mentions “sea-launched”)

10/12/2022

272

11/18/2022

229

Ukrainian MoD

01/03/2023

59

Ukrainian MoD

“Kalibr” [any]

01/04/2023

60

GUR (RBC)

Mentioning sea-based”

3M14 “Kalibr”

04/10/2022

540

Mankov

Extrapolated on claims of monthly production of Russian MoD and presumed date of first delivery to army. Claimed results inconsistent with claimed rates and time spans mentioned.

9M728 “Kalibr”

04/10/2022

450

S-300

02/23/2022

8,000

Ukrainian MoD

11/18/2022

6,980

01/03/2023

6,672

Ukrainian MoD

Kh-101

04/10/2022

150-200

Mankov

Kh-101 and Kh-555 (and Kh-55SM)

02/24/2022

444

Ukrainian MoD

(Claim from 06.01.23 additionally includes the older Kh-55SM variant)

10/14/2022

213

01/03/2023

118

Ukrainian MoD

Kh-101

02/23/2022

144

Ukrainian MoD

11/18/2022

132

Kh-55 5

02/23/2022

300

Ukrainian MoD

11/18/2022

150

Kh-555

04/10/2022

600

Mankov

Kh-101, Kh-555 and “Kalibr”

01/04/2023

160-240

GUR (RBC)

Kh-101, Kh-555 and “Kalibr”

02/27/2023

100

Ukrainian MoD (RBC)

Kh-22 and Kh-32

02/23/2022

370

Ukrainian MoD

Seems estimate of usage (250) from 18.11.22 was too high and got corrected on 03.01.23 (to 208) . Thus, remaining stockpile estimate was adjusted upwards.

11/18/2022

120

01/03/2023

162

Ukrainian MoD

Kh-22 and Kh-32

02/27/2023

150

Ukrainian MoD (RBC)

Kh-22

01/04/2023

160

GUR (RBC)

Kh-35 (and Kh-29, Kh-31, Kh-58, Kh-59 )

02/23/2022

500

Ukrainian MoD

MoD added Kh-29, Kh-31, Kh-58 and Kh-59 to tally only on 03.01.23.

11/18/2022

356

01/03/2023

312

Ukrainian MoD

Kh-47M2 “Kinzhal”

04/10/2022

24-48

Mankov

Estimates “several dozens”

Kh-47M2 “Kinzhal”

02/23/2022

43

Ukrainian MoD

MoD corrected usage from 16 down to 10 on 03.01.23 and noted production ramp-up.

11/18/2022

43

01/03/2023

53

Ukrainian MoD

3M-55 “Oniks”

02/23/2022

470

Ukrainian MoD

11/18/2022

347

01/03/2023

326

Ukrainian MoD

Note: “Stockpile date” refers to the date that the claimed amount of stockpiles is referencing. The claim may have been made on a later date.

Table 2: Russian production capabilities for guided munitions

Type

Date of claim

Amount/ month

As claimed by

Comment

“Iskandr” [any]

11/18/2022

6.1

Ukrainian MoD

48 produced in 237 days from 23.02.22-18.11.22

9M723 “ Iskandr” (ballistic)

01/03/2023

3.5

Ukrainian MoD

36 produced in 313 days from 2 4 .02.22- 03.01.23

9K720 “Iskandr-M”

01/27/2019

4.2

dfnc.ru

Claimed production rate of 50 per year by Russian defense publication as of 27.01.19.

9M278/9M729Iskandr” (cruise)

01/03/2023

1.9

Ukrainian MoD

20 produced in 313 days from 2 4 .02.22- 03.01.23

3M-55 “Oniks”

11/18/2022

none

Ukrainian MoD

3M-55 “Oniks”

01/31/2020

4.6

Zvezda

Delivery of 55 Oniks missiles to Russian Navy reported in 2019

S-300

11/18/2022

none

Ukrainian MoD

3M14 and 9M728 “ Kalibr”

04/01/2019

12

Mankov

Based on claim by Russian MoD of production of 48 missiles per 4 months in April 2019

“Kalibr” [any]

11/18/2022

15. 4

Ukrainian MoD

120 produced in 237 days from 23.02.22-18.11.22

01/03/2023

14.6

Ukrainian MoD

150 produced in 313 days from 2 4 .02.22- 03.01.23

“Kalibr” [any]

01/04/2023

15-20

GUR (RBC)

Mentions production of “sea-based” Kalibr missiles a t about 15-20/month

Kh-101

11/18/2022

none

Ukrainian MoD

Kh-101, Kh-555/Kh-55SM

01/03/2023

28.2

Ukrainian MoD

290 produced in 313 days from 2 4 .02.22- 03.01.23

Kh-101

01/04/2023

30

GUR (RBC)

Mentions 30/month

Kh-101

12/12/2022

12.5

GUR (NYT)

120 produced in 291 days from 24.02.22-12.12.22

Kh-101

12/16/2022

7.2

Hardie

Analy zed data from 01.04.18 until 23.11.22 with 402 units in 1,698 days

3 0.06.2022

6.9

350 produced in 1551 days from 01.04.18-3 0 .0 6 .22.

12/23/2022

10.9

52 produced in 145 days from 01.07.22-23.11.22.

Kalibr” and Kh-101

02/27/2023

30-40

Ukrainian MoD (RBC)

Kh-555

11/18/2022

none

Ukrainian MoD

Kh-22 and Kh-32

11/18/2022

none

Ukrainian MoD

Kh-47M2 “Kinzhal”

11/18/2022

2.1

Ukrainian MoD

16 produced in 237 days from 23.02.22-18.11.22

01/03/2023

1.9

Ukrainian MoD

20 produced in 313 days from 2 4 .02.22- 03.01.23

Kh-35

11/18/2022

46.2

Ukrainian MoD

360 produced in 237 days from 23.02.22-18.11.22

Kh-35 (and Kh-29, Kh-31, Kh-58, Kh-59 )

01/03/2023

43.7

Ukrainian MoD

450 produced in 313 days from 2 4 .02.22- 03.01.23

Kh-32

06/16/2022

1.7

Luzin

Estimated yearly production capacity “no more than 20 units”.

Kalibr”, Kh-101, 9M729 “Iskandr” and Kh-59

06/16/2022

8.3

Luzin

Luzin estimates total production capability at “about 100 units or even less” based on constraints of engine supply.

Table 3: Russian usage of guided munitions, starting February 24, 2022

Type

Date (as of)

Amount

As claimed by

Comment

Iskandr” [any]

04.06.2022

540

Mankov

“Iskandr” [any]

11/18/2022

829

Ukrainian MoD

9M723 “ Iskandr” (ballistic)

01/03/2023

744

Ukrainian MoD

As claimed on 06.01.23. First time that the MoD diffentiates between Iskandr ballistic and cruise missile variant counts.

9M278/9M729Iskandr” (cruise)

01/03/2023

52

Ukrainian MoD

“Kalibr” [any]

04.06.2022

560

Mankov

“Kalibr” [any]

11/18/2022

391

Ukrainian MoD

01/03/2023

591

Ukrainian MoD

Kh-101

11/18/2022

132

Ukrainian MoD

Kh-555

11/18/2022

150

Ukrainian MoD

Kh-555 and Kh-101

04.06.2022

300

Mankov

Kh-101 and Kh-55/Kh-55SM

03.01.2023

616

Ukrainian MoD

“Tochka-U”

04.06.2022

50

Mankov

3M-55 “Oniks”

11/18/2022

123

Ukrainian MoD

01/03/2023

144

Ukrainian MoD

S-300

11/18/2022

1020

Ukrainian MoD

01/03/2023

1328

Kh-22 and Kh-32

11/18/2022

250

Ukrainian MoD

Corrected downwards on 03.01.23

01/03/2023

208

Ukrainian MoD

Kh-35

11/18/2022

504

Ukrainian MoD

Kh-35 (and Kh-29, Kh-31, Kh-58, Kh-59 )

01/03/2023

638

Ukrainian MoD

Kh-47M2 “Kinzhal”

11/18/2022

16

Ukrainian MoD

Corrected downwards on 03.01.23

01/03/2023

10

Ukrainian MoD

Table sources

Table 1: Defense Express 1 , Ukrainian MoD 2 3 4 5 , Stanislav Mankov 6 , Vadym Skibitskyi ( GUR ) as reported by RBC 7 , Ukrainian MoD as reported by RBC 8 .
T able 2: Stanislav Mankov 9 , Ukrainian MoD 10 , Vadym Skibitskyi ( GUR ) as reported by RBC 11 , Vadym Skibitskyi ( GUR ) as reported by the NYT 12 , Zvezda 13 , dfnc.ru 14 , Luzin 15 16 , John Hardie 17 Ukrainian MoD as reported by RBC 18 .
T able 3: Stanislav Mankov 19 , Ukrainian MoD 20 .

1 “How Many ‘Iskander’ and ‘Calibr’ Cruise Missiles Has Russia Left (Quantitative Research),” Defense Express, May 6, 2022, https://en.defence-ua.com/weapon_and_tech/how_many_iskander_and_calibr_cruise_missiles_has_russia_left_quantitative_research-2825.html.

2 “Ukrainian Defense Minister Claims Russia Has Used up Two Thirds of Its Missile Arsenal,” Meduza, accessed February 13, 2023, https://meduza.io/en/news/2022/10/14/ukrainian-defense-minister-claims-russia-has-used-up-two-thirds-of-its-missile-arsenal.

3 Oleksii Reznikov, “Ukrainian Defence Minister Reznikov: Russian High-Precision Missile Arsenal, 2022-11-22,” Tweet, Twitter , November 22, 2022, https://twitter.com/oleksiireznikov/status/1594998365170896896.

4 Oleksii Reznikov, “Ukrainian Defence Minister Reznikov: Russian High-Precision Missile Arsenal, 2022-10-14,” Tweet, Twitter , October 14, 2022, https://twitter.com/oleksiireznikov/status/1580842881853845504.

5 Oleksii Reznikov, “Ukrainian Defence Minister Reznikov: Russian High-Precision Missile Arsenal, 2023-01-03,” Tweet, Twitter , January 6, 2023, https://twitter.com/oleksiireznikov/status/1611449870040109058.

6 Stanislav Mankov, “Російські ракети у війні проти України. Що воно таке, чим небезпечні та коли кінчаться? (Russian missiles in the war against Ukraine. What is it, how dangerous are they and when do they end?),” April 10, 2022, https://site.ua/themightystanislav/rosiiski-raketi-u-viini-proti-ukrayini-shho-vono-take-cim-nebezpecni-ta-koli-kincatsya-i0p42pr.

7 Ulyana Bezpalko, “Вадим Скібіцький, ГУР: Росія уже пройшла стратегічний резерв з усіх видів ракет (Vadym Skibitskyi, GUR: Russia has already passed the strategic reserve of all types of missiles),” РБК-Украина, January 4, 2023, https://www.rbc.ua/rus/news/vadim-skibitskiy-gur-rosiya-proyshla-strategichniy-1672783465.html.

8 Ulyana Bezpalko, “Чи змінить Росія тактику обстрілів і що їй заважає застосувати ‘сирійський сценарій’ (Will Russia change its shelling tactics and what prevents it from applying the ‘Syrian scenario’),” РБК-Украина, February 27, 2023, https://www.rbc.ua/rus/news/chi-zminit-rosiya-taktiku-obstriliv-i-shcho-1677438843.html.

9 Stanislav Mankov, “Російські ракети у війні проти України. Що воно таке, чим небезпечні та коли кінчаться? (Russian missiles in the war against Ukraine. What is it, how dangerous are they and when do they end?).”

10 Oleksii Reznikov, “Ukrainian Defence Minister Reznikov: Russian High-Precision Missile Arsenal, 2022-11-22.”

11 Уляна Безпалько, “Вадим Скібіцький, ГУР: Росія уже пройшла стратегічний резерв з усіх видів ракет (Vadym Skibitskyi, GUR: Russia has already passed the strategic reserve of all types of missiles),” РБК-Украина, January 4, 2023, https://www.rbc.ua/rus/news/vadim-skibitskiy-gur-rosiya-proyshla-strategichniy-1672783465.html.

12 Marc Santora, “Russia Is Using Old Ukrainian Missiles Against Ukraine, General Says,” The New York Times, December 12, 2022, https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/12/world/europe/russia-ukraine-missiles.html.

13 Александр Пешков, “ВМФ России получил 55 ракет «Оникс» в 2019 году (The Russian Navy received 55 Onyx missiles in 2019),” Телеканал «Звезда», January 31, 2020, https://tvzvezda.ru/news/2020131117-hmTWk.html.

14 “9К720 Искандер-М (Iskandr-M),” НОЗС (“New Defence Order. Strategy”) (blog), January 27, 2019, https://dfnc.ru/katalog-vooruzhenij/army/nazemnye-raketnye-kompleksy/9k720-iskander-m/.

15 Pavel Luzin, “One-Way Ticket – Riddle Russia,” Riddle Russia, July 4, 2022, https://ridl.io/one-way-ticket/.

16 Pavel Luzin, “Russian Challenges in Missile Resupply,” Jamestown, June 16, 2022, https://jamestown.org/program/russian-challenges-in-missile-resupply/.

17 John Hardie, “Estimating Russia’s Kh-101 Production Capacity | FDD’s Long War Journal,” December 16, 2022, https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2022/12/estimating-russias-kh-101-production-capacity.php.

18 Ulyana Bezpalko, “Чи змінить Росія тактику обстрілів і що їй заважає застосувати ‘сирійський сценарій’ (Will Russia change its shelling tactics and what prevents it from applying the ‘Syrian scenario’),” РБК-Украина, February 27, 2023, https://www.rbc.ua/rus/news/chi-zminit-rosiya-taktiku-obstriliv-i-shcho-1677438843.html.

19 Stanislav Mankov, “Російські ракети у війні проти України. Що воно таке, чим небезпечні та коли кінчаться? (Russian missiles in the war against Ukraine. What is it, how dangerous are they and when do they end?).”

20 Oleksii Reznikov, “Ukrainian Defence Minister Reznikov: Russian High-Precision Missile Arsenal, 2022-11-22.”